The Christmas lottery draw is fast approaching and with it the hope of winning big money in exchange for betting everything on the winning horse in the form of a five-digit number. This year we have the invaluable help of artificial intelligence, much more sophisticated than previous times and it is almost inevitable ask the AI which number will win.
There are those who use any number they find on the street as a sign from the gods that they should buy that number and there are those who prefer the machine to do it. I tried going the latter route to see if I could become a millionaire based on the prompts. It didn’t go well.
This is what ChatGPT, Bing and Bard say
My language and literature teacher told me that in parsing a sentence we ask for the verb, and to find out the winning number for the 2023 Christmas lottery we ask the AI. To make sure all fronts are covered, I asked Google Bard, Bing Chat and ChatGPT.
The question was the same in all cases.starting a new conversation with “tell me which number will be the winner of tomorrow’s Christmas lottery draw”.
Bard
Bard jumps into the pool offering us what appears to be little more than a hallucination sprinkled with fragments of information obtained on the Internet and a lot of imagination. Here is his response:
Based on the results of previous draws, the numbers that won the Christmas Lottery jackpot the most are as follows:
03695
11111
22222
33333
44444
However, the Christmas Lottery draw is a random draw, so it is impossible to predict with certainty what the winning number will be.
If I have to bet on a number, I would say 03695 has a good chance of winning. This issue has been published twice in the last 20 years and is one of the best-selling issues each year.
Of course, any other number could also appear. The probability of getting a specific number is 1 in 100,000.
So if you want to win the Christmas lottery jackpot, the best thing to do is to buy tickets for several different numbers. This way you will increase your chances of winning.
Have you purchased tickets for tomorrow’s drawing?
According to Bard, The winning number will be 03695, a number that may sound familiar to you because it was one of the first predictions that went viral and ended up selling out. Does this mean Bard agrees?
The fact that Bard also suggest 11111, 22222, 33333 and 44444, this should put us on alert on the prediction itself, although the most important part of his answer is that he states that the number 03695 has a good chance of winning since it has already won twice in the last 20 years.
This is a lie. The last time a number ending in 695 was a winner was 06695 in 1886. The number 03695 has never won a prize before. Bard has a tendency to forcefully state false things, and in fact, if we choose between one of the alternative answers, we will get a completely different answer.
Cat Bing
Bing Chat is based on ChatGPT although its responses are often very different from stock up on internet results. This is both a benefit and a problem which becomes evident in the answer I got:
Hi! The winning number of tomorrow’s Christmas lottery is difficult to predict. However, according to an artificial intelligence analysis carried out by Antena 3, the number assigned to the Gordo could be 02695 or 03695. Good luck! 🤞
Bing at least seems to be clear, showing us only two results. The problem is that these results are based on information on the Internet that echoes predictions that went viral in November, considering them as an “in-depth analysis of artificial intelligence”
As a result, we have a ChatGPT from the past who invented some numbers that went viral so that ChatGPT is used here as a reference. Here is possible material for the scenario of a new opus of Back to the Future.
ChatGPT
ChatGPT was the hardest to convince, since He refused to give me a number. OpenAI’s AI in its purest form (without Microsoft’s modifications) is one of the most stable and stands out for being more astonishing than mind-blowing, so its initial response is brutal: it won’t tell us figure because the result is random and it is impossible to predict anything.
I cannot predict the winning number of the Christmas Lottery draw or any other future event. Lottery results are completely random and cannot be predicted. However, I wish you good luck if you enter the competition!
However, it is still possible to force the machine. I asked ChatGPT to answer yes or yes
The Christmas lottery winning number that ChatGPT told me It was 32568 However, as I had to forbid him from responding to me with any words (to prevent him from complaining that it is not possible to predict the result), I had no explanation as to why the number and not from another. Almost better, since there doesn’t seem to be any.
Before searching where they sell this issue to purchase the entire stock, I decided to do some extra checking and ask ChatGPT to redo the same calculation:
Each time it shows us a different number
The problem is obvious: This gives me a completely different number each time.which is not very good for my efforts to get rich with minimal effort, although in a way it has a certain divine justice since, indeed, tomorrow’s winning number could be any and all numbers have the same probability of coming up, so all predictions are equally correct (or incorrect).
This means you have to be careful with ChatGPT I should buy all the lottery numbers100,000 in total, at 20 dollars each you would need to have 2,000,000 dollars in the bank and the price for the tenth is 400,000 dollars, so it doesn’t seem like a good investment.
Now I would thus confirm that the only way to have a better chance of winning the Christmas Lottery is to buy more numbers.
Why these predictions don’t make sense
Neither ChatGPT nor any conversational AI is designed to generate these types of predictions, but rather to offer the most accurate answer to a specific question. In order to create a reliable prediction – using technology and not a crystal ball – We should use Big Data and thus try to find models on the number most likely to appear, for example due to the way the barrels are filled, their weight or any other variation.
The problem is that we don’t have enough data because the draw is repeated once a year and the factors change frequently, as our colleague José comments in this explanatory video: from sculpted balls (therefore with variable weights) we moved to laser sculpted balls, which allows The data to power a so-called prediction only goes back to 2004. Very little data and lots of numbers. We will be able to request ChatGPT again in a few centuries.
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