Apple has always been a company known for its secrecy when it comes to presenting new products, with varying degrees of success. That’s why it’s no surprise that company plans and news are always shrouded in rumors.
As Apple grew, interest in rumors increased. That way, as the company tries to keep its launches a secret, there is little news today that really surprises us.
In this way, the people who tend to hit the rumors have become real celebrities with countless followers on their social networks. But who are they really and how often do their predictions come true?
We have compiled statistics on the accuracy of the various rumors on the site AppleTrack, which contains detailed lists of statements made over the past 2-3 years to see if they ultimately turned out to be true.
Kang
This is a mysterious Weibo account that has shared a lot of information and has an extremely high level of reliability. One of the few claims that turned out to be incorrect was that Apple would host an event on March 23 of this year, but the Account wasn’t the only one wrong in that prediction.
Accuracy: 97%
Mark Gurman (Bloomberg)
Gurman began writing as a teenager for 9to5Mac, but he has jumped in his career to become a reporter at Bloomberg since 2016. He remains one of the most precise escapees. His report seldom turns out to be inaccurate and he seems to have some of the most valued sources among his contacts.
Today, many of his articles lack detail and he seems to prefer the safe to the insecure. Better the vague: “Apple plans to launch at least one new model of MacBook before Christmas” than something more detailed where the risk is higher.
Accuracy: 89.1%
L0vetodream
Another newcomer is this anonymous Taiwanese Twitter account that started reporting on upcoming Apple devices in the spring of 2020. It has a distinctive style in which statements often begin with “last night I dreamed” and got correct scores most of the time.
Accuracy: 89%
OnLeaks (Steve H McFly)
Spread rumors based on leaked CAD drawings of unreleased devices. On several occasions he was the first to present design elements for new iPhone models, for example the triple camera of the iPhone 11 Pro.
Accuracy: 78.6%
Jon prosser
Prosser runs the YouTube channel FrontPageTech and he tweets frequently about anything Apple-related. He has made some good predictions in the past, like the release date of the iPhone SE 2020 being revealed.
However, in recent months its accuracy has declined so much that he ended up shaving his eyebrows after his error predicting the date of the first Apple event of 2021 which turned out to be incorrect.
Precision: 78.2 $
Ming-Chi Kuo
The only stock analyst who has been reasonably accurate over the years. Kuo originally worked at KGI Securities, but has changed jobs several times in recent years.
Today, he is an analyst at TF International Securities. A prolific leaker whose sources are generally among Apple’s Asian subcontractors. Their predictions are usually shared in the form of briefings for investors.
Accuracy: 76.6%
Max Weinbach
Weinbach is a freelance journalist who previously wrote for XDA Developers and now for Android Police. He is best known for his predictions on new Android phones, but he has also made numerous statements on the iPhone and other Apple devices.
Accuracy: 67.1%
IceUniverse
IceUniverse (or UniverseIce) does not appear on AppleTrack, so we don’t have an accuracy rating. But he has made recent predictions like the next-gen iPhone will have a smaller notch.
However, you got it wrong in the past, for example when you predicted that the iPhone 12 Pro would have a 120Hz screen.
Precision: no score
So far we have mentioned the people behind the Apple rumors, but we should also mention some top websites that seem to have some pretty reliable sources that got them to do things right and make accurate predictions. .
Information
The Information posted a handful of premieres on new Apple products that in most cases turned out to be correct. For now, we’re waiting to see whether the magazine’s claims about Apple’s mixed reality headsets are true or not.
Accuracy: 90.9%
9to5Mac
Even after Mark Gurman stopped collaborating with 9to5Mac, the publication continued to get premieres from Apple, and in recent years it has acquired several new journalists who have contributed unique sources.
Guilherme Rambo, for example, made several discoveries related to new features and upcoming products by examining beta versions of various Apple systems and finding hidden references to new products and Software.
Accuracy: 77.5%
the Wall Street newspaper
This American heavyweight publication writes often about Apple and was the first to publish rumors about new products every now and then. The newspaper often confirmed information that others had only released in the form of earlier rumors.
Accuracy: 77.4%
MacRumors
Despite its name, MacRumors has published surprisingly few rumors in recent years. MacRumors was launched in 2000 and its user forum is one of the largest and most popular among Apple users.
Accuracy: 71.9%
Macotakara
This Japanese site on Apple topics has made many correct statements over the years, but it has also made mistakes. It remains one of the few sites that publishes correct information from time to time well in advance of its launch.
Accuracy: 68.6%
DigiTimes
This Taiwanese newspaper has been a prolific supporter of Apple product rumors in the past, but many of them were inaccurate. The rumors have calmed down a bit recently and have become a bit less resilient, but more specific, as a result.
Accuracy: 65.1%
The original article is published in English on our sister website igamesnews Sweden
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